Here’s an overview of what might still happen - how it might happen, why so much remains possible, and what signs to look for on election night. The voters, after all, have the final say. There is also the possibility of more surprising outcomes: a true Republican landslide or a Democratic hold on Congress. On the other hand, it wouldn’t take much for Republicans to pick up dozens of seats, leaving the impression that 2022 was something like a wave election. It wouldn’t take much for Democrats to keep the race fairly close, perhaps delaying a call on House control for many hours or perhaps even days. While Republicans are plainly favored to win the chamber, dozens of races are tossups. With just a few lucky breaks, either party could win control. In the Senate, the races likeliest to decide control remain exceptionally close, with the poll averages showing essentially a dead-heat in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona and even New Hampshire. Why such a wide range? With so many races on edge, it wouldn’t take much for the final outcome to feel very good, or very bad, for either party. Just about anything is still possible in this year’s midterm elections.Įverything from a Democratic hold in the Senate and a fairly close race for the House to something like a Republican rout is well within the range of realistic possibilities on Tuesday.
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